How to create a financial forecast for a ship dismantling company?
Creating a financial forecast for your ship dismantling company, and ensuring it stays up to date, is the only way to maintain visibility on future cash flows.
This might sound complex, but with the right guidance and tools, creating an accurate financial forecast for your ship dismantling company is not that hard.
In this guide, we'll cover everything from the main goal of a financial projection, the data you need as input, to the tables that compose it, and the tools that can help you build a forecast efficiently.
Without further ado, let us begin!
Why create and maintain a financial forecast for a ship dismantling company?
Creating and maintaining an up-to-date financial forecast is the only way to steer the development of your ship dismantling company and ensure that it can be financially viable in the years to come.
A financial plan for a ship dismantling company enables you to look at your business in detail - from income to operating costs and investments - to evaluate its expected profitability and future cash flows.
This gives you the visibility needed to plan future investments and expansion with confidence.
And, when your trading environment gets tougher, having an up to date ship dismantling company forecast enables you to detect potential upcoming financing shortfalls in advance, enabling you to make adjustments or secure financing before you run out of cash.
It’s also important to remember that your ship dismantling company's financial forecast will be essential when looking for financing. You can be 100% certain that banks and investors will ask to see your numbers, so make sure they’re set out accurately and attractively.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
What information is needed to build a ship dismantling company financial forecast?
The quality of your inputs is key when it comes to financial modelling: no matter how good the model is, if your inputs are off, so will the forecast.
If you are building a financial plan to start a ship dismantling company, you will need to have done your market research and have a clear picture of your sales and marketing strategies so that you can project revenues with confidence.
You will also need to have a clear idea of what resources will be required to operate the ship dismantling company on a daily basis, and to have done your research with regard to the equipment needed to launch your venture (see further down this guide).
If you are creating a financial forecast of an existing ship dismantling company, things are usually simpler as you will be able to use your historical accounting data as a budgeting base, and complement that with your team’s view on what lies ahead for the years to come.
Let's now zoom in on what will go in your ship dismantling company's financial forecast.
The sales forecast for a ship dismantling company
From experience, it usually makes sense to start your ship dismantling company's financial projection with the revenues forecast.
The inputs used to forecast your sales will include the historical trading data of your ship dismantling company (which can be used as a starting point for existing businesses) and the data collected in your market research (which both new ventures and existing businesses need to project their sales forward).
Your ship dismantling company's sales forecast can be broken down into two key estimates:
- The average price
- The number of monthly transactions
To assess these variables accurately, you will need to consider the following factors:
- Changes in global demand for scrap metal: As a ship dismantling company, your main source of revenue comes from selling scrap metal from the ships you dismantle. Any changes in the global demand for scrap metal can greatly affect your average price per transaction.
- Fluctuations in the price of steel: Steel is a key component in shipbuilding and can also be recycled for use in other industries. Any fluctuations in the price of steel can impact the price of scrap metal and therefore, your average price per transaction.
- Regulations and policies on ship dismantling: Government regulations and policies on ship dismantling can affect the number of ships available for dismantling and the cost of obtaining necessary permits and licenses. This can in turn influence the number of monthly transactions for your business.
- Competition from other ship dismantling companies: The presence of other ship dismantling companies in the market can affect your average price per transaction as they may offer lower prices to attract customers. It can also impact the number of monthly transactions as customers may choose to go to your competitors instead.
- Natural disasters and accidents at sea: Natural disasters and accidents at sea can result in damaged or sunken ships, increasing the demand for ship dismantling services. This can lead to an increase in your average price per transaction and the number of monthly transactions for your business.
Once you have a sales forecast in place, the next step will be to work on your overhead budget. Let’s have a look at that now.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The operating expenses for a ship dismantling company
Once you know what level of sales you can expect, you can start budgeting the expenses required to operate your ship dismantling company on a daily basis.
Expenses normally vary based on how much revenue you anticipate (which is why, from experience, it is always better to start your forecast with the topline projection), and where your business is based.
Operating expenses for a ship dismantling company will include some of the following items:
- Staff Costs: Including salaries, benefits, and training for employees involved in the dismantling process such as engineers, welders, and laborers.
- Accountancy Fees: Hiring an accountant to manage financial records, tax filings, and other financial tasks.
- Insurance Costs: Insuring the company, employees, and equipment against potential risks and damages.
- Software Licenses: Purchasing licenses for software used in the dismantling process, such as project management tools or design software.
- Banking Fees: Fees associated with bank accounts, credit card processing, and other financial transactions.
- Transportation Costs: Transporting equipment and materials to and from the dismantling site.
- Equipment Rental: Renting specialized equipment needed for the dismantling process, such as cranes or forklifts.
- Safety Equipment: Providing safety gear for employees and ensuring compliance with safety regulations.
- Waste Disposal: Properly disposing of hazardous materials and waste generated during the dismantling process.
- Marketing and Advertising: Promoting the company's services to attract potential clients.
- Utilities: Paying for electricity, water, and other utilities used in the dismantling process.
- Legal Fees: Seeking legal advice and representation for any legal matters related to the company's operations.
- Training and Development: Providing ongoing training and development opportunities for employees to improve their skills and knowledge.
- Rent or Lease: Renting or leasing office space, storage facilities, or other necessary spaces for the company's operations.
- Maintenance and Repairs: Regular maintenance and repairs for equipment and facilities used in the dismantling process.
This list will need to be tailored to the specificities of your ship dismantling company, but should offer a good starting point for your budget.
What investments are needed to start or grow a ship dismantling company?
Once you have an idea of how much sales you could achieve and what it will cost to run your ship dismantling company, it is time to look into the equipment required to launch or expand the activity.
For a ship dismantling company, capital expenditures and initial working capital items could include:
- Ship Breaking Equipment: This includes items such as cranes, excavators, and shears, which are essential for dismantling ships and removing large parts.
- Vessel Acquisition: As a ship dismantling company, you will need to purchase ships in order to dismantle them. This can be a significant capital expenditure, as ships can cost millions of dollars.
- Storage Facilities: Once ships are dismantled, their parts will need to be stored until they are sold or recycled. This may require the construction or rental of storage facilities, which can be a major capital expenditure.
- Environmental Protection Measures: Dismantling ships can have a significant environmental impact, so it is important to invest in measures to minimize this impact. This may include purchasing equipment for pollution control and waste management.
- Safety Equipment: Ship dismantling is a hazardous activity, so it is important to invest in safety equipment to protect your workers. This may include items such as protective gear, first aid kits, and safety training materials.
Again, this list will need to be adjusted according to the specificities of your ship dismantling company.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The financing plan of your ship dismantling company
The next step in the creation of your financial forecast for your ship dismantling company is to think about how you might finance your business.
You will have to assess how much capital will come from shareholders (equity) and how much can be secured through banks.
Bank loans will have to be modelled so that you can separate the interest expenses from the repayments of principal, and include all this data in your forecast.
Issuing share capital and obtaining a bank loan are two of the most common ways that entrepreneurs finance their businesses.
What tables compose the financial plan for a ship dismantling company?
Now let's have a look at the main output tables of your ship dismantling company's financial forecast.
The profit & loss forecast
The forecasted profit & loss statement will enable you to visualise your ship dismantling company's expected growth and profitability over the next three to five years.
A financially viable P&L statement for a ship dismantling company should normally show:
- Sales growing above inflation
- Stable or expanding (ideally) profit margins
- A net profit
This will of course depend on the stage of your business: a new venture might be loss-making until it reaches its breakeven point in year 2 or 3, for example.
The projected balance sheet
The projected balance sheet gives an overview of your ship dismantling company's financial structure at the end of the financial year.
It is composed of three categories of items: assets, liabilities and equity:
- Assets: are what the business possesses and uses to produce cash flows. It includes resources such as cash, buildings, equipment, and accounts receivable (money owed by clients).
- Liabilities: are the debts of your ship dismantling company. They include accounts payable (money owed to suppliers), taxes due and bank loans.
- Equity: is the combination of what has been invested by the business owners and the cumulative profits to date (which are called retained earnings). Equity is a proxy for the value of the owner's stake in the business.
The cash flow forecast
Your ship dismantling company's cash flow forecast shows how much cash your business is expected to consume or generate in the years to come.
It is best practice to organise the cash flow forecast by nature to better explain where cash is used or generated by the ship dismantling company:
- Operating cash flow: shows how much cash is generated by the operating activities
- Investing cash flow: shows how much will be invested in capital expenditure to maintain or expand the business
- Financing cash flow: shows if the business is raising new capital or repaying financiers (debt repayment, dividends)
Keeping an eye on (and regularly updating) your ship dismantling company's cash flow forecast is key to ensuring that your business has sufficient liquidity to operate normally and to detect financing requirements as early as possible.
If you are trying to raise capital, you will normally be asked to provide a monthly cash flow forecast in your ship dismantling company's financial plan - so that banks or investors can assess seasonal variation and ensure your business is appropriately capitalised.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Which tool should you use to create your ship dismantling company's financial projections?
Building a ship dismantling company financial forecast is not difficult provided that you use the right tool for the job. Let’s see what options are available below.
Using online financial forecasting software to build your ship dismantling company's projections
The modern and easiest way is to use an online financial forecasting tool such as the one we offer at The Business Plan Shop.
There are several advantages to using specialised software:
- You can easily create your financial forecast by letting the software take care of the financial calculations for you without errors
- You have access to complete financial forecast templates
- You get a complete financial forecast ready to be sent to your bank or investors
- You can easily track your actual financial performance against your financial forecast, and recalibrate your forecast as the year goes by
- You can create scenarios to stress test your forecast's main assumptions
- You can easily update your forecast as time goes by to maintain visibility on future cash flows
- You have a friendly support team on standby to assist you when you are stuck
- It’s cost-efficient and much cheaper than using an accountant or consultant (see below)
If you are interested in this type of solution, you can try our projection software for free by signing up here.
Hiring a financial consultant or chartered accountant
Hiring a consultant or chartered accountant is also an efficient way to get a professional ship dismantling company financial projection.
As you can imagine, this solution is much more expensive than using software. From experience, the creation of a simple financial forecast over three years (including a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement) is likely to start around £700 or $1,000 excluding taxes.
The indicative estimate above, is for a small business, and a forecast done as a one-off. Using a financial consultant or accountant to track your actuals vs. forecast and to keep your financial forecast up to date on a monthly or quarterly basis will naturally cost a lot more.
If you choose this solution, make sure your service provider has first-hand experience in your industry, so that they may challenge your assumptions and offer insights (as opposed to just taking your figures at face value to create the forecast’s financial statements).
Why not use a spreadsheet such as Excel or Google Sheets to build your ship dismantling company's financial forecast?
Creating an accurate and error-free ship dismantling company financial forecast on Excel (or any spreadsheet) is very technical and requires both a strong grasp of accounting principles and solid skills in financial modelling.
Most entrepreneurs lack the expertise required to create an accurate financial forecast using spreadsheet software like Excel or Google Sheets. As a result, it is unlikely anyone will trust your numbers.
The second reason is that it is inefficient. Building forecasts on spreadsheets was the only option in the 1990s and early 2000s, nowadays technology has advanced and software can do it much faster and much more accurately.
This is why professional forecasters all use software. With the rise of AI, software is also becoming smarter at helping us detect mistakes in our forecasts and helping us analyse the numbers to make better decisions.
Finally, like everything with spreadsheets, tracking actuals vs. forecasts and updating your forecast as the year progresses is manual, tedious, error-prone, and time-consuming. Whereas financial forecasting software like The Business Plan Shop is built for this.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Use our financial projection templates for inspiration
The Business Plan Shop has dozens of financial forecast templates available.
Our examples contain a complete business plan with a financial forecast and a written presentation of the company, the team, the strategy, and the medium-term objectives.
Whether you are just starting out or already have your own ship dismantling company, looking at our financial forecast template is a good way to:
- Understand what a complete business plan should look like
- Understand how you should model financial items for your ship dismantling company
Takeaways
- A financial projection shows expected growth, profitability, and cash generation for your business over the next three to five years.
- Tracking actuals vs. forecast and keeping your financial forecast up-to-date is the only way to maintain visibility on future cash flows.
- Using financial forecasting software makes it easy to create and maintain up-to-date projections for your ship dismantling company.
You have reached the end of our guide. We hope you now have a better understanding of how to create a financial forecast for a ship dismantling company. Don't hesitate to contact our team if you have any questions or want to share your experience building forecasts!
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Also on The Business Plan Shop
- Example of financial projections
- How to create a sales forecast for a business?
- Sample financial forecast for business idea
Know someone who runs or wants to start a ship dismantling company? Share our financial projection guide with them!

