How to create a financial forecast for a horse breeding company?
Developing and maintaining an up-to-date financial forecast for your horse breeding company is key in order to maintain visibility on your business’s future cash flows.
If you feel overwhelmed at the thought of putting together a horse breeding company financial forecast then don’t worry as this guide is here to help you.
We'll cover everything from: the main objectives of a financial forecast, the data you need to gather before starting, to the tables that compose it, and the tools that will help you create and maintain your forecast efficiently.
Let's get started!
Why create and maintain a financial forecast for a horse breeding company?
In order to prosper, your business needs to have visibility on what lies ahead and the right financial resources to grow. This is where having a financial forecast for your horse breeding company becomes handy.
Creating a horse breeding company financial forecast forces you to take stock of where your business stands and where you want it to go.
Once you have clarity on the destination, you will need to draw up a plan to get there and assess what it means in terms of future profitability and cash flows for your horse breeding company.
Having this clear plan in place will give you the confidence needed to move forward with your business’s development.
Having an up-to-date financial forecast for a horse breeding company is also useful if your trading environment worsens, as the forecast enables you to adjust to your new market conditions and anticipate any potential cash shortfall.
Finally, your horse breeding company's financial projections will also help you secure financing, as banks and investors alike will want to see accurate projections before agreeing to finance your business.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
What information is used as input to build a horse breeding company financial forecast?
A horse breeding company's financial forecast needs to be built on the right foundation: your assumptions.
The data required to create your assumptions will depend on whether you are a new or existing horse breeding company.
If you are creating (or updating) the forecast of an existing horse breeding company, then your main inputs will be historical accounting data and operating metrics, and your team’s view on what to expect for the next three to five years.
If you are building financial projections for a new horse breeding company startup, you will need to rely on market research to form your go-to-market strategy and derive your sales forecast.
For a new venture, you will also need an itemised list of resources needed for the horse breeding company to operate, along with a list of equipment required to launch the venture (more on that below).
Now that you understand what is needed, let’s have a look at what elements will make up your horse breeding company's financial forecast.
The sales forecast for a horse breeding company
From experience, it usually makes sense to start your horse breeding company's financial projection with the revenues forecast.
The inputs used to forecast your sales will include the historical trading data of your horse breeding company (which can be used as a starting point for existing businesses) and the data collected in your market research (which both new ventures and existing businesses need to project their sales forward).
Your horse breeding company's sales forecast can be broken down into two key estimates:
- The average price
- The number of monthly transactions
To assess these variables accurately, you will need to consider the following factors:
- Horse health and fertility: The health and fertility of your horses can greatly impact the average price and number of monthly transactions for your breeding company. If your horses are healthy and able to produce quality offspring, you can expect to command a higher price and have more transactions. However, if your horses have health issues or fertility problems, it can lower the value of their offspring and decrease the number of successful breedings.
- Breeding trends and demand: The current trends in the horse breeding industry and the demand for specific breeds can have a significant impact on your sales forecast. For example, if there is a high demand for a certain breed or bloodline, you may be able to charge a higher price for your horses and see an increase in monthly transactions. On the other hand, if the market is saturated with a particular breed, it may be more challenging to sell your horses at a profitable price.
- Competitor activity: The actions of your competitors can also affect your average price and number of monthly transactions. If your competitors are offering similar horses at lower prices or have a better reputation, it may be more challenging to sell your horses at a higher price. However, if your competitors are struggling or have a shortage of horses, it can create an opportunity for you to increase your prices and attract more customers.
- Economic conditions: The state of the economy can also play a role in your sales forecast. During times of economic downturn, people may be less likely to purchase horses or may be more price-sensitive. This can result in a decrease in your average price and the number of monthly transactions. Conversely, during times of economic prosperity, people may be more willing to spend money on luxury items such as horses, leading to an increase in your sales.
- Breeding program and reputation: Your breeding program and reputation within the industry can greatly impact the success of your sales forecast. If you have a well-established and reputable breeding program, it can attract more customers and allow you to command a higher price for your horses. Additionally, if you have a track record of producing successful and high-quality horses, it can further increase the demand for your horses and their value.
Once you have a sales forecast in place, the next step will be to work on your overhead budget. Let’s have a look at that now.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The operating expenses for a horse breeding company
Once you know what level of sales you can expect, you can start budgeting the expenses required to operate your horse breeding company on a daily basis.
Expenses normally vary based on how much revenue you anticipate (which is why, from experience, it is always better to start your forecast with the topline projection), and where your business is based.
Operating expenses for a horse breeding company will include some of the following items:
- Staff Costs: This includes salaries, wages, and benefits for all employees working at your horse breeding company. This could include breeders, trainers, grooms, and administrative staff.
- Accountancy Fees: You will need to hire an accountant to help you manage your finances and ensure compliance with tax laws. They will also assist with budgeting and forecasting.
- Insurance Costs: As a horse breeding company, you will need to have insurance to protect your horses, employees, and facilities. This could include liability insurance, property insurance, and equine mortality insurance.
- Software Licences: You may need to purchase software licenses for programs that you use to manage your breeding operations, such as record keeping software or breeding management software.
- Banking Fees: You will incur fees for maintaining a business bank account, processing transactions, and using other financial services such as wire transfers.
- Feed and Supplies: This includes the cost of feed, hay, bedding, and other supplies necessary for caring for your horses.
- Veterinary Expenses: You will need to budget for routine veterinary care, as well as unexpected medical expenses for your horses.
- Breeding Fees: If you use outside stallions for breeding, you will need to pay breeding fees to the owners of those stallions.
- Marketing and Advertising: It's important to promote your horse breeding company to attract customers, so you may need to budget for marketing and advertising expenses such as website development, print materials, and online ads.
- Facility Maintenance: You will need to budget for regular maintenance and repairs for your breeding facilities, as well as any upgrades or improvements.
- Transportation Costs: This includes the cost of transporting horses to and from breeding facilities, as well as any shipping costs for sales or shows.
- Utilities: You will need to pay for utilities such as electricity, water, and gas for your breeding facilities.
- Legal Fees: It's important to have a lawyer to help you with contracts, agreements, and any legal issues that may arise in your horse breeding business.
- Equipment Maintenance: You will need to budget for maintenance and repairs for any equipment you use in your breeding operations, such as tractors or trailers.
- Training and Education: As a horse breeder, it's important to stay current with industry trends and techniques, so you may need to budget for attending workshops, seminars, or other training opportunities.
This list will need to be tailored to the specificities of your horse breeding company, but should offer a good starting point for your budget.
What investments are needed to start or grow a horse breeding company?
Creating and expanding a horse breeding company also requires investments which you need to factor into your financial forecast.
Capital expenditures and initial working capital items for a horse breeding company could include elements such as:
- Breeding Stock: This includes the cost of purchasing high-quality horses for breeding purposes. This can also include expenses such as transportation, quarantine, and any necessary vet checks.
- Breeding Facilities: This includes the construction or renovation of facilities such as barns, pastures, and breeding sheds. It can also include the cost of equipment such as breeding stocks and foaling stalls.
- Breeding Equipment: This includes the purchase of equipment used for breeding such as ultrasound machines, semen tanks, and artificial insemination equipment.
- Land: If you do not already own suitable land for your horse breeding company, you may need to purchase or lease land for your facilities and pastures.
- Breeding Licenses and Permits: Depending on your location, you may need to obtain licenses and permits for your horse breeding company. This could include permits for breeding, transportation, and operating a business.
Again, this list is not exhaustive and will need to be adjusted according to the circumstances of your horse breeding company.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The financing plan of your horse breeding company
The next step in the creation of your financial forecast for your horse breeding company is to think about how you might finance your business.
You will have to assess how much capital will come from shareholders (equity) and how much can be secured through banks.
Bank loans will have to be modelled so that you can separate the interest expenses from the repayments of principal, and include all this data in your forecast.
Issuing share capital and obtaining a bank loan are two of the most common ways that entrepreneurs finance their businesses.
What tables compose the financial plan for a horse breeding company?
Now let's have a look at the main output tables of your horse breeding company's financial forecast.
The projected profit & loss statement
The projected profit & loss shows how profitable your horse breeding company is likely to be in the years to come.
For your horse breeding company to be financially viable, your projected P&L should ideally show:
- Sales growing above inflation (the higher the better)
- Profit margins which are stable or expanding (the higher the better)
- A net profit at the end of each financial year (the higher the better)
This is for established horse breeding companies, there is some leniency for startups which will have numbers that will look a bit different than existing businesses.
The projected balance sheet
Your horse breeding company's forecasted balance sheet enables you to assess your financial structure and working capital requirements.
It is composed of three types of elements: assets, liabilities and equity:
- Assets: represent what the business owns and uses to produce cash flows. It includes resources such as cash, equipment, and accounts receivable (money owed by clients).
- Liabilities: represent funds advanced to the business by lenders and other creditors. It includes items such as accounts payable (money owed to suppliers), taxes due and loans.
- Equity: is the combination of what has been invested by the business owners and the cumulative profits and losses generated by the business to date (which are called retained earnings). Equity is a proxy for the value of the owner's stake in the business.
The cash flow forecast
Your horse breeding company's cash flow forecast shows how much cash your business is expected to consume or generate in the years to come.
It is best practice to organise the cash flow forecast by nature to better explain where cash is used or generated by the horse breeding company:
- Operating cash flow: shows how much cash is generated by the operating activities
- Investing cash flow: shows how much will be invested in capital expenditure to maintain or expand the business
- Financing cash flow: shows if the business is raising new capital or repaying financiers (debt repayment, dividends)
Keeping an eye on (and regularly updating) your horse breeding company's cash flow forecast is key to ensuring that your business has sufficient liquidity to operate normally and to detect financing requirements as early as possible.
If you are trying to raise capital, you will normally be asked to provide a monthly cash flow forecast in your horse breeding company's financial plan - so that banks or investors can assess seasonal variation and ensure your business is appropriately capitalised.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Which tool should you use to create your horse breeding company's financial projections?
Building a horse breeding company financial forecast is not difficult provided that you use the right tool for the job. Let’s see what options are available below.
Using online financial forecasting software to build your horse breeding company's projections
The modern and easiest way is to use professional online financial forecasting software such as the one we offer at The Business Plan Shop.
There are several advantages to using specialised software:
- You can easily create your financial forecast by letting the software take care of the financial calculations for you without errors
- You have access to complete financial forecast templates
- You get a complete financial forecast ready to be sent to your bank or investors
- You can easily track your actual financial performance against your financial forecast, and recalibrate your forecast as the year goes by
- You can create scenarios to stress test your forecast's main assumptions
- You can easily update your forecast as time goes by to maintain visibility on future cash flows
- You have a friendly support team on standby to assist you when you are stuck
- It’s cost-efficient and much cheaper than using an accountant or consultant (see below)
If you are interested in this type of solution, you can try our forecasting software for free by signing up here.
Calling in a financial consultant or chartered accountant
Outsourcing the creation of your horse breeding company financial forecast is another possible solution.
This will cost more than using software as you can expect as your price will have to cover the accountant’s time, software cost, and profit margin.
Price can vary greatly based on the complexity of your business. For a small business, from experience, a simple three-year financial forecast (including a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement) will start at around £700 or $1,000.
Bear in mind that this is for forecasts produced at a single point in time, updating or tracking your forecast against actuals will cost extra.
If you decide to outsource your forecasting:
- Make sure the professional has direct experience in your industry and is able to challenge your assumptions constructively.
- Steer away from consultants using sectorial ratios to build their client’s financial forecasts (these projections are worthless for a small business).
Why not use a spreadsheet such as Excel or Google Sheets to build your horse breeding company's financial forecast?
You and your financial partners need numbers you can trust. Unless you have studied finance or accounting, creating a trustworthy and error-free horse breeding company financial forecast on a spreadsheet is likely to prove challenging.
Financial modelling is very technical by nature and requires a solid grasp of accounting principles to be done without errors. This means that using spreadsheet software like Excel or Google Sheets to create accurate financial forecasts is out of reach for most business owners.
Creating forecasts in Excel is also inefficient nowadays:
- Software has advanced to the point where forecasting can be done much faster and more accurately than manually on a spreadsheet.
- With artificial intelligence, the software is capable of detecting mistakes and helping decision-making.
Spreadsheets are versatile tools but they are not tailor-made for reporting. Importing your horse breeding company's accounting data in Excel to track actual vs. forecast is incredibly manual and tedious (and so is keeping forecasts up to date). It is much faster to use dedicated financial planning tools like The Business Plan Shop which are built specially for this.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Use our financial forecast templates for inspiration
The Business Plan Shop has dozens of financial forecast examples available.
Our templates contain both a financial forecast and a written business plan which presents, in detail, the company, the team, the strategy, and the medium-term objectives.
Our templates are a great source of inspiration, whether you just want to see what a complete business plan looks like, or are looking for concrete examples of how you should model financial elements in your own forecast.
Takeaways
- A financial projection shows expected growth, profitability, and cash generation for your business over the next three to five years.
- Tracking actuals vs. forecast and keeping your financial forecast up-to-date is the only way to maintain visibility on future cash flows.
- Using financial forecasting software makes it easy to create and maintain up-to-date projections for your horse breeding company.
You have reached the end of our guide. We hope you now have a better understanding of how to create a financial forecast for a horse breeding company. Don't hesitate to contact our team if you have any questions or want to share your experience building forecasts!
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Also on The Business Plan Shop
- Example of financial projections
- How to create a sales forecast for a business?
- Example of financial forecast for business idea
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