How to create a financial forecast for a linseed farm?
If you are serious about keeping visibility on your future cash flows, then you need to build and maintain a financial forecast for your linseed farm.
Putting together a linseed farm financial forecast may sound complex, but don’t worry, with the right tool, it’s easier than it looks, and The Business Plan Shop is here to guide you.
In this practical guide, we'll cover everything you need to know about building financial projections for your linseed farm.
We will start by looking at why they are key, what information is needed, what a forecast looks like once completed, and what solutions you can use to create yours.
Let's dive in!
Why create and maintain a financial forecast for a linseed farm?
In order to prosper, your business needs to have visibility on what lies ahead and the right financial resources to grow. This is where having a financial forecast for your linseed farm becomes handy.
Creating a linseed farm financial forecast forces you to take stock of where your business stands and where you want it to go.
Once you have clarity on the destination, you will need to draw up a plan to get there and assess what it means in terms of future profitability and cash flows for your linseed farm.
Having this clear plan in place will give you the confidence needed to move forward with your business’s development.
Having an up-to-date financial forecast for a linseed farm is also useful if your trading environment worsens, as the forecast enables you to adjust to your new market conditions and anticipate any potential cash shortfall.
Finally, your linseed farm's financial projections will also help you secure financing, as banks and investors alike will want to see accurate projections before agreeing to finance your business.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
What information is used as input to build a linseed farm financial forecast?
A linseed farm's financial forecast is only as good as the inputs used to build it.
If you are creating (or updating) the forecast of an existing linseed farm, then you mostly need your accounting information, key historical operating non-financial data, and your team’s input on what to expect for the coming years.
If you are building financial projections for a linseed farm startup, you will need to have done your research and have a clear picture of your competitive environment and go-to-market strategy so that you can forecast sales accurately.
For a new venture, you will also need a precise list of the resources needed to keep the linseed farm running on a day-to-day basis and a list of the equipment and expenditures required to start the business (more on that later).
Let's now take a closer look at the elements that make up your linseed farm's financial forecast.
The sales forecast for a linseed farm
The sales forecast, also called topline projection, is normally where you will start when building your linseed farm financial forecast.
Creating a coherent sales projection boils down to estimating two key drivers:
- The average price
- The number of monthly transactions
To do this, you will need to rely on historical data (for an existing business), market research data (for both new and existing linseed farms), and consider the elements below:
- Weather conditions: The average price of linseed can be affected by weather conditions such as drought or excessive rainfall. These conditions can impact the yield and quality of linseed, ultimately affecting the price and number of transactions.
- Competition: The presence of other linseed farms in the market can affect the average price and number of transactions for your farm. If there is high competition, you may have to lower your prices to stay competitive, which can result in a decrease in your average price and an increase in transactions.
- Government policies: Changes in government policies, such as subsidies or import/export regulations, can have an impact on the price of linseed. For example, if there is an increase in subsidies for linseed production, the average price may decrease as more farmers enter the market, but the number of transactions may increase.
- Demand for linseed oil: The demand for linseed oil, which is extracted from linseed, can also affect the average price and number of transactions for your farm. If the demand for linseed oil increases, the price of linseed may also increase due to a higher demand for the raw material.
- Crop diseases: The occurrence of crop diseases, such as rust or blight, can significantly impact the yield and quality of linseed. This can result in a decrease in the supply of linseed, leading to an increase in the average price and a decrease in the number of transactions for your farm.
After the sales forecast comes the operating expenses budget, which we will now look into in more detail.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The operating expenses for a linseed farm
The next step is to estimate the expenses needed to run your linseed farm on a day-to-day basis.
These will vary based on the level of sales expected, and the location and size of your business.
But your linseed farm's operating expenses should include the following items at a minimum:
- Seeds and Fertilizers: You will need to purchase high-quality linseed seeds and fertilizers to ensure a successful harvest.
- Labor Costs: Hiring skilled laborers to help with planting, harvesting, and other farm tasks will be a significant operating expense.
- Equipment Maintenance: Regular maintenance and repairs of farm equipment such as tractors, combines, and irrigation systems are essential to keep your farm running smoothly.
- Water and Electricity: You will need to pay for the water and electricity used to operate your farm, including irrigation systems, lighting, and other equipment.
- Insurance Costs: It is important to have insurance coverage for your linseed farm to protect against potential risks and losses.
- Transportation: You will need to transport your linseed to buyers or processors, which may incur costs for fuel, vehicle maintenance, and other related expenses.
- Accounting and Bookkeeping Fees: Hiring an accountant or bookkeeper to manage your financial records and taxes is crucial for the success of your linseed farm.
- Software Licenses: You may need to purchase software licenses for farm management, accounting, or other related programs to help streamline your operations.
- Marketing and Advertising: Promoting your linseed farm and products through various marketing and advertising channels, such as social media or trade shows, can be a significant operating expense.
- Rent or Mortgage: If you do not own the land where your linseed farm is located, you will need to factor in the cost of rent or mortgage payments.
- Pest Control: You may need to invest in pesticides, herbicides, or other pest control methods to protect your linseed crops from potential damage.
- Packaging and Shipping: If you are selling your linseed products directly to consumers, you will need to cover the cost of packaging and shipping.
- Taxes and Permits: As a business owner, you will be responsible for paying taxes and obtaining necessary permits for your linseed farm.
- Banking Fees: You may incur fees for using banking services, such as wire transfers or credit card processing, for your farm's financial transactions.
- Training and Education: Investing in yourself and your employees by attending workshops, conferences, or training programs can help improve your farming techniques and overall success.
This list is, of course, not exhaustive, and you'll have to adapt it according to your precise business model and size. A small linseed farm might not have the same level of expenditure as a larger one, for example.
What investments are needed to start or grow a linseed farm?
Creating and expanding a linseed farm also requires investments which you need to factor into your financial forecast.
Capital expenditures and initial working capital items for a linseed farm could include elements such as:
- Land Purchase: This is the cost of acquiring the land needed for your linseed farm. It includes the purchase price of the land, legal fees, and any other associated costs.
- Irrigation System: As linseed is a crop that requires regular watering, investing in an irrigation system is essential. This can include the cost of piping, pumps, and other necessary equipment.
- Farm Machinery: To effectively plant, maintain, and harvest your linseed crop, you will need to invest in farm machinery such as tractors, plows, and harvesters. These are considered fixed assets and will be included in your expenditure forecast.
- Storage Facilities: After harvesting your linseed, you will need to store it properly to maintain its quality. This may include the cost of building or purchasing storage facilities such as silos or sheds.
- Processing Equipment: If you plan on processing your linseed into oil or other products, you will need to include the cost of processing equipment in your expenditure forecast. This can include items such as presses, filters, and tanks.
Again, this list is not exhaustive and will need to be adjusted according to the circumstances of your linseed farm.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
The financing plan of your linseed farm
The next step in the creation of your financial forecast for your linseed farm is to think about how you might finance your business.
You will have to assess how much capital will come from shareholders (equity) and how much can be secured through banks.
Bank loans will have to be modelled so that you can separate the interest expenses from the repayments of principal, and include all this data in your forecast.
Issuing share capital and obtaining a bank loan are two of the most common ways that entrepreneurs finance their businesses.
What tables compose the financial plan for a linseed farm?
Now let's have a look at the main output tables of your linseed farm's financial forecast.
The forecasted profit & loss statement
The profit & loss forecast gives you a clear picture of your business’ expected growth over the first three to five years, and whether it’s likely to be profitable or not.
A healthy linseed farm's P&L statement should show:
- Sales growing at (minimum) or above (better) inflation
- Stable (minimum) or expanding (better) profit margins
- A healthy level of net profitability
This will of course depend on the stage of your business: numbers for an established linseed farm will look different than for a startup.
The projected balance sheet
Your linseed farm's projected balance sheet provides a snapshot of your business’s financial position at year-end.
It is composed of three types of elements: assets, liabilities and equity:
- Assets: represent what the business possesses including cash, equipment, and accounts receivable (money owed by clients).
- Liabilities: represent funds advanced to the business by lenders and other creditors. They include accounts payable (money owed to suppliers), taxes payable and loans from banks and financial institutions.
- Equity: is the combination of what has been invested by the business owners and the cumulative profits and losses generated by the business to date (which are called retained earnings). Equity is a proxy for the value of the owner's stake in the business.
The cash flow forecast
Your linseed farm's cash flow forecast shows how much cash your business is expected to consume or generate in the years to come.
It is best practice to organise the cash flow forecast by nature to better explain where cash is used or generated by the linseed farm:
- Operating cash flow: shows how much cash is generated by the operating activities
- Investing cash flow: shows how much will be invested in capital expenditure to maintain or expand the business
- Financing cash flow: shows if the business is raising new capital or repaying financiers (debt repayment, dividends)
Keeping an eye on (and regularly updating) your linseed farm's cash flow forecast is key to ensuring that your business has sufficient liquidity to operate normally and to detect financing requirements as early as possible.
If you are trying to raise capital, you will normally be asked to provide a monthly cash flow forecast in your linseed farm's financial plan - so that banks or investors can assess seasonal variation and ensure your business is appropriately capitalised.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Which tool should you use to create your linseed farm's financial projections?
Building a linseed farm financial forecast is not difficult provided that you use the right tool for the job. Let’s see what options are available below.
Using online financial forecasting software to build your linseed farm's projections
The modern and easiest way is to use professional online financial forecasting software such as the one we offer at The Business Plan Shop.
There are several advantages to using specialised software:
- You can easily create your financial forecast by letting the software take care of the financial calculations for you without errors
- You have access to complete financial forecast templates
- You get a complete financial forecast ready to be sent to your bank or investors
- You can easily track your actual financial performance against your financial forecast, and recalibrate your forecast as the year goes by
- You can create scenarios to stress test your forecast's main assumptions
- You can easily update your forecast as time goes by to maintain visibility on future cash flows
- You have a friendly support team on standby to assist you when you are stuck
- It’s cost-efficient and much cheaper than using an accountant or consultant (see below)
If you are interested in this type of solution, you can try our forecasting software for free by signing up here.
Calling in a financial consultant or chartered accountant
Enlisting the help of a consultant or accountant is also a good way to obtain a professional linseed farm financial forecast.
The downside of this solution is its cost. From experience, obtaining a simple financial forecast over three years (including a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement) is likely to cost a minimum of £700 or $1,000.
The indicative cost above, is for a small business, and a forecast is done as a one-shot exercise. Using a consultant or accountant to track your actuals vs. forecast and to keep your financial projections up to date on a monthly or quarterly basis will cost a lot more.
If you opt for this solution, make sure your accountant has in-depth knowledge of your industry, so that they may challenge your figures and offer insights (as opposed to just taking your assumptions at face value to create the forecast).
Why not use a spreadsheet such as Excel or Google Sheets to build your linseed farm's financial forecast?
Creating an accurate and error-free linseed farm financial forecast on Excel (or any spreadsheet) is very technical and requires both a strong grasp of accounting principles and solid skills in financial modelling.
Most entrepreneurs lack the expertise required to create an accurate financial forecast using spreadsheet software like Excel or Google Sheets. As a result, it is unlikely anyone will trust your numbers.
The second reason is that it is inefficient. Building forecasts on spreadsheets was the only option in the 1990s and early 2000s, nowadays technology has advanced and software can do it much faster and much more accurately.
This is why professional forecasters all use software. With the rise of AI, software is also becoming smarter at helping us detect mistakes in our forecasts and helping us analyse the numbers to make better decisions.
Finally, like everything with spreadsheets, tracking actuals vs. forecasts and updating your forecast as the year progresses is manual, tedious, error-prone, and time-consuming. Whereas financial forecasting software like The Business Plan Shop is built for this.
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Use our financial projection templates for inspiration
The Business Plan Shop has dozens of financial forecasting templates available.
Our examples contain both the financial forecast, and a written business plan which presents, in detail, the company, the team, the strategy, and the medium-term objectives.
Whether you are just starting out or already have your own linseed farm, looking at our template is always a good way to get ideas on how to model financial items and what to write when creating a business plan to secure funding.
Takeaways
- A financial forecast shows expected growth, profitability, and cash generation metrics for your linseed farm.
- Tracking actuals vs. forecast and having an up-to-date financial forecast is key to maintaining visibility on your future cash flows.
- Using financial forecasting software is the modern way of creating and maintaining financial projections.
We hope that this guide helped you gain a clearer perspective on the steps needed to create the financial forecast for a linseed farm. Don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions!
Need a convincing business plan?
The Business Plan Shop makes it easy to create a financial forecast to assess the potential profitability of your projects, and write a business plan that’ll wow investors.
Also on The Business Plan Shop
- Financial forecast example
- How to create a sales forecast for a business?
- Sample financial forecast for business idea
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